Kamis, 20 Juni 2013

PDF Download Dicing with Death: Chance, Risk And Health

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Review

"Stephen Senn has attempted to do for medical statistics what Stephen Hawking did for physics in A Brief History of Time (Bantam Press, 1988) and Simon Singh did for pure mathematics in Fermat's Last Theorem (Fourth Estate, 1997). I think he has succeeded." British Medical Journal"...this work demonstrates an erudition and a breadth of knowledge not often found today. The author clearly enjoyed writing it and the reader will delight as much in the reading." Mathematical Reviews"Whether your taste is for the nitty-gritty of controversies, like the alleged link between childhood MMR vaccination and autism, or for pensive reflection on the philsophy of knowledge, you will find much of value here." New Scientist"Dicing with Death is worthwhile reading for just about any statistician. It also clarifies the key role data collection and analysis play in scientific discovery, so this book would be highly recommended as well to non-statisticians who work in fields that are based on data. Historians of science would also find this book enjoyable and informative." Computational Statistics"In Dicing with Death, Senn sets out to 'explain how important statistics is' and takes the reader on a wild, thought-provoking and always entertaining ride through biostatistics and beyond. Modern statistical science is the product of a long and fascinating history, and Senn delights in recounting the development of important ideas...Senn is often uproariously funny, which is remarkable in a book that covers so much technical, philosophical and historical ground." Canadian Medical Association Journal"Senn is urbane, charming, and often funny ... you might need a dictionary occasionally, but otherwise you can read this in bed or on the beach, and it won't be out of place. Bandolier loved it." Bandolier“What makes this book valuable is Senn's rich experience in both the pharmaceutical industry and academia. By weaving this experience with his wealth of knowledge of the history of medical statistics, he is able to tie together important concepts in a way that is both instructive and entertaining. Senn, Professor of Statistics at Glasgow University, has obviously polished many of these lessons from his teaching experience...Stephen Senn's book is an entertaining, thought-provoking collection of stories valuable for those who teach biostatistics.” Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences Newsletter"... an entertaining read, and a book to make you feel good about being a statistician? Very much so! ... I defy pharmaceutical statisticians anywhere not to benefit ... a great read. This is the ideal book for the pharmaceutical statistician who wants to broaden their knowledge of their chosen subject." Pharmaceutical Statistics"Dicing with Death is a rarity: a book about statistics for the general public ... Senn certainly seems to have had fun ... there is plenty of solid stuff mixed in with the fun. If you're tired of trying to persuade people that "statisticians count", why not take the easy way out and give them this book?" Journal of the Royal Statistical Society"The style of the book is discursive and it is very entertaining. In addition to being excellent for students and practitioners of the subject, it should be made essential reading for all those in public life who make critical decisions in the areas of medicine, politics, law and the media." Short Book Reviews

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Book Description

Stephen Senn explains how statistics determines many decisions about medical care, from allocating resources for health, to determining which drugs to license, to cause-and-effect in relation to disease. He tackles big themes: clinical trials and the development of medicines, life tables, vaccines and their risks (or lack of them), smoking and lung cancer and even the power of prayer. He shows why reasoning with probability is essential to making rational decisions in medicine, and how it guides us when faced with choices that affect our health and even life.

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Product details

Paperback: 264 pages

Publisher: Cambridge University Press; 1 edition (November 24, 2003)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0521540232

ISBN-13: 978-0521540230

Product Dimensions:

6 x 0.6 x 9 inches

Shipping Weight: 1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

3.4 out of 5 stars

5 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#1,242,446 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Excellent! The focus is on statistics in medicine, but the book zigzags through recent issues (ethics and politics of clinical trials, lawyer's abuse of statistical evidence, vaccine scares), sometimes sophisticated analysis of particular data, combined with explanation and history of basic concepts, with half-page biographies of historical and modern statisticians going far beyond the usual suspects. Has the lively style of The Economist, addressing a mentally alert adult reader rather than a casual reader or bored student. In particular, readers who have taken one course in statistics will get a view of "the big picture", and this is the best single book for that purpose.

Very complicated stuff in this book. Fairly interesting but hard to read/understand. Not written real well as the author goes off on a million irrelevant tangents with lots of attempts at humor.

Senn provides a broad introduction to key statistical ideas relevant to medicine and epidemiology. He switches effortlessly between basic concepts such as hypothesis testing, standard error and conditional probabilities to deep philosophy such as Bayesian versus frequentist schools, irrationality of induction and the use of meta-analysis. His style is highly readable mixing technical content with historical anecdotes and startling digressions.The ideal reader is someone who has a decent background in statistics, such as that gained in a university-level statistics course.The key strengths of the book include: (1) clear, lucid explanation of many concepts including modern ones not typically covered in first courses -- for instance, the contrast between Bayesian and frequentist approaches is done much better here than in most other books; (2) about 1/2-1/3 of the examples come from the real world (the remainder split between coin tossing experiments and hypotheticals), which is a high proportion among this sort of books; (3) good discussion of intuition and reasoning as opposed to just formulae.The weaknesses (quibbles) include: (1) Senn's penchant for puns and word play provides humor but can get in the way of understanding the material; (2) his frequent digressions leave a host of loose ends and dead ends, which can frustrate some readers but for others, this strategy reveals exciting avenues for further exploration.This is really a great book for someone who knows some statistics and really want to dig much deeper into the intuition and philosophy behind this field.

I have just completed 2 semesters of graduate level biostats and I find this book really dense and excessively wordy. I think this is a cultural issue being that he is from England. When I bought the book I was hoping for a Malcolm Gladwell type of breakdown of medical statistics. Unfortunately, the author doesn't have Malcolm's ability to tell a really good story using high level theories.I bought this book first to read on a long trip and second to reinforce the knowledge I have worked so hard to understand. Since I am going on a long trip I gambled on this book and lost. Now I am stuck with one less book.

The title of the book and the first page of the first chapter gave me a thrill, and I thanked my friend who introduced me this book. There are plenty of examples and anecdotes that cannot be found in usual statistical books. The author tries to cover many topics in statistics, ranging from the concept of probability to experimental designs. However, I do not know the target reader of the book. If it is for the novice statisticians, writings will be too complicated; if it is for the educated statisticians, explanation is too wordy. For example, the author tries to verbally explain marginal, conditional and joint probability using a 2 by 2 contiongency table spending a whole 1 page. Novice statisticians will find the explanation unnecessarily complicated; the educated will find it unnecessarily lengthy and redundant. Some, if not most, examples are quite complicated and cannot be grasped just by reading the book unless the reader is already well familiar with the concept of the examples. If the reader is already familiar with the examples, he/she will find them trivial; if not, will later find out that the reader has spent too much time unnecessarily to understand them.

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Senin, 29 April 2013

Free Download Charrería Mexicana: An Equestrian Folk Tradition

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Charrería Mexicana: An Equestrian Folk Tradition

From the Inside Flap

In this first major English-language interpretation of charrerA-a, Kathleen Mullen Sands describes the evolution of this equestrian tradition, highlighting the role of horsemen and women throughout Mexico's history. For those who believe cowboy culture and rodeo represent historic horsemanship in the United States, CharrerA-a Mexicana reveals a festival of equal complexity and distinction.

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From the Back Cover

Charreria celebrates an equestrian tradition whose roots are in sixteenth-century Spain but which developed into a unique form of horsemanship in the physical and cultural landscapes of the New World. It is an enormously popular tradition in Mexico. Charreada, the performance of competitive equestrian events, is often referred to as Mexico's number-one sport.

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Product details

Paperback: 366 pages

Publisher: University of Arizona Press (August 1, 1993)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0816513465

ISBN-13: 978-0816513468

Product Dimensions:

6.1 x 1 x 9.2 inches

Shipping Weight: 1.4 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

3.4 out of 5 stars

3 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#902,290 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Very disappointed. There are very few poorly selected black and white images that don't show anything of what you really see at these events. The reader will have to wonder or imagine how things are done or performed. The history as described here, lacks feeling, flavor and color. This book is only a basic - very Americanized guide with a dull overview of charreria. The art in an event of Charreria Mexicana is a colorful and happy event, full of music, and full of daredevil maneuvers that should have been described here more in-depth.

Shipped promptly. Was exactly as advertised. Was even shrink-wrapped.

i would like to see more contents not just index. pictures will sell the book. if its what i am looking for we'll buy it. if not would you want to sell under falsepretense.

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Kamis, 28 Maret 2013

Download PDF How to Be Free: An Ancient Guide to the Stoic Life

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How to Be Free: An Ancient Guide to the Stoic Life

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#detail-bullets .content {

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Audible Audiobook

Listening Length: 1 hour and 55 minutes

Program Type: Audiobook

Version: Unabridged

Publisher: HighBridge, a division of Recorded Books

Audible.com Release Date: October 9, 2018

Language: English, English

ASIN: B07HM82VPT

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

A must have for any Stoic practitioner

This is one of the most practical handbooks on self-motivation I have read in recent years.

Recently folks have started asking me to comment on happiness and other problems common to the human condition. I don’t know why anybody would want to ask anybody else alive today for such advice when there are so many respected books from the past that answer these questions better than today’s philosophers. I read Plato and Machiavelli back in high school, with a gap between them. I remember mentions of stoicism across my education, so I think Epictetus has come up, even if indirectly. I think his stoicism philosophy is more relevant today than the other two philosophers that stick at the forefront of my mind as they focused on war and political conquest, and we would all be in a better world if we put war aside and instead were a bit more stoic in our characters. Ids have taken over as people run around high and drunk, debauching for the sake of entertainment, and then complaining they lack joy and need to be medicated. Anybody who is experiencing “depression” really should read this book and contemplate Epictetus’ biography. He was born as a slave and spent his life, once he was freed, lecturing about not wanting more than what you can have for the sake of being free even when one’s body is enslaved. Some of his lessons might be shocking to modern readers, but good philosophy should surprise, or it is not teaching something new. For example, in How to Be Free, he advises that describing something you love frees you from feeling “troubled” if this person dies (9). And if suggests going into a potentially volatile situation with the thought that you want to be “in harmony with nature”, so that when people in a bathhouse “splash you or jostle you or talk rudely or steal your things”, you don’t react with anger towards them because you return in your mind to the idea that harmony or peace with your surroundings is more important to you than making rebuttals to this type of harassment (11). This particular comment strikes me because every time I try to go swimming in a public or private pool, I get harassed in just these ways, and I always choose to avoid interacting unless my towel has been stolen or the like and I have to call the police. It’s delightful to find a philosopher facing these same problems and teaching the importance of measured and calm replies, something we can all benefit from. There are also plenty of lessons here that I can benefit from adopting: “In company don’t go on at length about your own deeds or adventures. It may be pleasant for you to recount them, but others are less eager to hear about what has happened to you. And don’t try to be funny; it’s behavior that easily lapses into vulgarity, and it is also liable to make your neighbors think less well of you” (67-9). I always do tend to talk a lot about myself in company, but usually because folks ask me about myself when I’m stoic and don’t say much without such questions. And as a bit of a hopeful-comedian, I do tend to make jokes, but I can see how they can become a bit dark and perhaps vulgar without me intending this. At the same time, among many inspiring lessons, there are also many outmoded ones. For example, in Discourses, Epictetus dictates that “we should proceed to education not in order to change the conditions (for this is not granted to us nor would it be better) but in order that, with things about us as they are and as their nature is, we may keep our minds in harmony with what happens” (105). Obviously, coming from a slave who is still restrained in his circumstances, he would have been going against the rules of his day if he expressed an ambition to become a great philosopher or a politician, and saying that he is happy with his lot was a safer road to take. This satisfaction with what one has and not struggling for things one might not achieve is indeed likely to make those who fail to achieve them miserable, but I don’t think it’s healthy to advise people to stop trying to achieve such things. Though this might help some people, and that’s why it’s good philosophy: those who come to these pages in need of lessons will find just the lesson they need if they read enough of these widely applicable ideas. This might also be a good book for somebody who is learning Greek, as the Greek and English versions are on opposite pages, and the language is simple enough to follow it without advanced knowledge. The Introduction offers plenty of background information, as does the Glossary with its definitions of key terms Epictetus employs that have changed their meaning since his time (55-135 AD). And a handy Index can be used by somebody who specifically wants advice on “obedience” or “regret.” This is a tiny book with bits of helpful information that is intended for the general public, like Sun Tzu’s The Art of War. Anybody who is about to go into a party or pool with people that are likely to try our patience can benefit from reading a couple of paragraphs from this book to reaffirm one’s determination to remain stoic in this disheveled wilderness.Pennsylvania Literary Journal: Fall 2018

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Jumat, 22 Maret 2013

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Essential Anatomies: Oral and Head/Neck

Book by Short, Marjorie J.

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Product details

Paperback: 292 pages

Publisher: Delmar Pub (March 1, 1987)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0827327420

ISBN-13: 978-0827327429

Package Dimensions:

9 x 8.1 x 0.7 inches

Shipping Weight: 1.4 pounds

Average Customer Review:

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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#7,510,271 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Jumat, 08 Maret 2013

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Product details

File Size: 432 KB

Print Length: 368 pages

Publisher: Disney Hyperion (March 28, 2010)

Publication Date: March 28, 2010

Language: English

ASIN: B003E8P9DS

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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#230,969 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)

I am a mom with young boys. I am also a book addict hoping to pass on my addiction to my children. However, because I'm rather protective, I pre-read almost all books my children read to make sure they are appropriate for my kids. I could not have been more thrilled with this series! While there is violence, it is not overly gory. The author writes in a very readable style which also instructs. The first book of the series begins to actually teach the reader a new language. You feel as if you are learning and struggling along with the protagonist.In addition to the historical and cultural lessons, another aspect of the series I particularly enjoy is the emphasis on the good qualities of a warrior. The protagonist must struggle and practice to achieve the desired qualities. His experience teaches many transferable concepts for boys growing into adulthood such as dealing with prejudice, devastating loss and earning his place in the world. I can't wait for my boys to dive into these books so we can discuss them together!

Okay, so the Young Samurai is Harry Potter with an historical setting and a couple hundred fewer pages. YA readers won't care. The story is every adventure loving kid's fantasy. Set in Shogun era Japan of the late 1500's, Jack is a rigging monkey on his father's ship. When the ship is attacked by pirates, Jack ends up in the Sea of Japan, is rescued by a samurai and sent to an elite samurai training school. Of course, it turns out the pirate attack wasn't random, Jack has something the pirates are desperate to find, and the samurai training Jack has been receiving from Japan's greatest master swordsman comes in very handy. Like Harry Potter, Jack is an outsider who endures harassment and finds two friends, who help him adjust to this strange new culture, and vow to be his allies. Well, actually one friend and ally, the other can't decide if he wants to be Jack's friend or enemy. The historical details are rich, fascinating and extremely accurate. In a surprise twist - the evil antagonists are ninjas. All readers will be swept up in the adventure and history of the Young Samurai, even the most reluctant readers.

This book series is well written, thought out and even has a couple of my favorite Samurai plot lines in it. This has been one of my favorite reads on Kindle at this time. Yeah it may seem like Harry Potter with ninjas yet it is so much more than that. It has impressed in every way while the story evolves.

I may be an all-round Japanese-culture freak fan but worry not, for I never let those things bias my reaction, if not tolerance, to a novel.And I have to say this book didn't even need a bias boost. Well written with believable and lovable (not always in the cute "aww" way) characters, I quickly became an addict to this series and was a click away from greedily buying book #6 before I realized I should give the writer some kudos and fame.The writer had a mission and it was well-executed in this book.One of my favourite aspects are the challenges and fight scenes; descriptive but easy to follow and the author obviously did his history research.And even if the most base form of the plot does not sound 100% original this novel makes it its own train track. Enjoy.

Not a bad story but a little shy on what I expected

This is a funny fast pace book that will keep,you up all night and if you like fun action books this is the one for you

I got this book at the library for my oldest son to read. My husband picked it up and read it all in one night. He liked it so well that we are buying the entire series to keep at home for us all to read.

I've never really been interested in Japan or its history, or samurai for that matter, but this book seemed interesting so I decided to give it a shot. I'm so glad I did! From the very first page, this book grabbed hold of me and held on to the very end. I never knew Japan, samurai and ninja could be so interesting and exciting! Chris Bradford has a talent in writing good, nail-biting adventures that are both realistic and thrilling to read. He somehow manages to mix some history into the story without overdoing it. The characters are good and it's very easy to connect with the main person, Jack, whose life is turned upside-down. He not only sees his father being murdered - he is also thrown into a world where no one understands his language and everyone is a potential enemy. He does make a few friends, but he's got even more enemies. Many are acting hostile towards him, and not all those who seem friendly at first have good intentions. - Who can he trust and who shall he fear? Also, Jack has a secret which he swore not to tell anyone ... Given no other choice, Jack must learn the rules and taboos of a samurai in Japan during the 1600s in order to survive ... and to get back to England to his little sister.

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Jumat, 22 Februari 2013

Free Ebook

Free Ebook

. One day, you will discover a brand-new experience and knowledge by spending even more money. But when? Do you believe that you should acquire those all demands when having significantly cash? Why do not you aim to obtain something easy in the beginning? That's something that will lead you to understand even more about the globe, experience, some locations, history, amusement, as well as a lot more? It is your very own time to continue reading behavior. One of the publications you could appreciate now is here.






Free Ebook

Pleased holiday! In this holiday, what will you do to satisfy the leisure time? Have you opt for some barbecues and also vacations? Well, have you had some books to review to accompany you when having vacations? Many individuals believe that there is no have to bring such publication while having holidays. Yet, several additionally always assume that reviewing books come to be a friend in any kind of scenario. So, we will certainly always try to use as one of reading products to support and accompany you in any type of circumstances.

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Product details

File Size: 7637 KB

Print Length: 224 pages

Publisher: Skyhorse (June 26, 2018)

Publication Date: June 26, 2018

Sold by: Simon & Schuster Digital Sales Inc.

Language: English

ASIN: B073WKKBBY

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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#1,336,603 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)

This book is the latest edition that has come out, I have looked it over and read most of it, it is the same material, the only thing is it is the black and white version. The colors for ships and boats NAVIGATION Lights are NOT colored, only downfall and there isn't any new Notice to Mariners.

Helps me to remember navigation rules, especially on federal controlled waterways! Great reference.

I was unsure but this turned out good enough for my application.

Get one for each of your yachts.

If I had known it's NOT in color I never would have bought it!!

Good

Good all around navigation book.

This book is filled with severe errors and misprints that will lead readers into dangerous situations.This is not a novel, it is a legal document, containing critical information regarding safe legal operation of commercial and private vessels.Readers operating with this book are at severe risk of violation of international treaty regarding maritime law.This book should be removed from shelves and destroyed before serious maritime casualty results.

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Senin, 11 Februari 2013

Ebook Knitting Yarns: Writers on Knitting

Ebook Knitting Yarns: Writers on Knitting

When someone is reading a publication in a shelter or in waiting list location, just what will you think about her or him? Do you feel that they are type of big-headed individuals that uncommitted of the area about? Really, people who are reading any place they are could not appear so, however they could become the focal point. However, what they suggest often will certainly not as same as what we believed.

Knitting Yarns: Writers on Knitting

Knitting Yarns: Writers on Knitting


Knitting Yarns: Writers on Knitting


Ebook Knitting Yarns: Writers on Knitting

Why learning more publications will provide you more potential customers to be successful? You know, the more you check out guides, the more you will certainly get the extraordinary lessons and expertise. Lots of people with lots of publications to end up read will certainly act different to individuals who do not like it a lot. To present you a far better thing to do daily, Knitting Yarns: Writers On Knitting can be chosen as buddy to invest the downtime.

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Knitting Yarns: Writers on Knitting

Product details

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Audible Audiobook

Listening Length: 7 hours and 48 minutes

Program Type: Audiobook

Version: Unabridged

Publisher: Audible Studios

Audible.com Release Date: January 7, 2014

Language: English, English

ASIN: B00HNEOJLM

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

As a lifelong knitter and longtime teacher of literature, the idea of a collection of essays about knitting penned by such talented writers as Joyce Maynard, Elizabeth Berg, and Jane Smiley, to name but a few, is pure joy. Much like knitting itself, which these essays celebrate. Now that I have embarked on a second career as the owner of Stash Knits, a LYS (local yarn shop) near Philadelphia, I find that I have even greater insight into and appreciation for the sentiments expressed here.Many of the essays connect the process of knitting with significant life events, others with significant people in the author's lives. This is fitting. In my experience as a shop owner, I have encountered dozens of women (and a few men) who sought and found solace in knitting during life crises. One woman, who had recently lost her husband of 61 years, wandered in with the idea to make a baby hat for her first soon-to-be-born great grandchild. The hat needed 11 months to be born, and during that time, we watched its knitter pass through many stages of grief and emerge on the other side. Another, slightly younger woman found us after a frightening diagnosis and an order to quit smoking. The needles and yarn occupied her hands; following the pattern occupied her mind.Just as often, people seem to take up or return to knitting in response to joyful milestones and memories--the birth of a first child, a desire to connect with a loved one who is (or was) a knitter. And there are many other stories. So many that the essays in this volume not only ring true, they feel like conversations, from a week ago or perhaps to be had next week.And the patterns! The book wisely includes directions for five beautiful projects, none of which the reader need make to appreciate. Rather, they are food for the celebration that is knitting. Though I might just need to cast on for those Banks fingerless mittens. You know, once I finish this hat. And those blanket squares.

This is a book that kept me reading despite the urge to put it down. How many ways can you explore the same theme? It seems each author is a writer who is all thumbs but has picked up knitting to try to solve some existential problem, knits copious amounts of misshapen items because, despite almost constant practice, the skill level never increases. Strangers make remarks on the poor quality of the knitted goods, but the intrepid writer soldiers on because the meditative quality of the physical act of knitting solves grief/lowers blood pressure/helps the transition out of bad marriages, etc. It's like the editor issued a template.Except for Barbara Kingsolver, whose prose is so purple as to be impenetrable.So why did I keep reading? Every few pages, there would be a sentence so brilliant as to give me chills.It would have been nice to cultivate contributors who were skilled in knitting and didn't use it as therapy. After all, everyone used to knit; men, women, children.I'm on the fence about passing this book along after I'm done. I think I will, with the proviso that it becomes bogged down once in a while, but it's ok to skip some essays. I'm unable to not read every work of a book I've purchased, but some others may be.

Reading a book about knitting should be entertaining, and I wanted to like this book. I did find it somehow dreary, and I guess it was more about the problems of the writers than the fiber craft. Granted, many of the stories told of how knitting helped through difficult times, but the fact that these were short stories just did not hold my interest. None of the stories were memorable for me personally. Again, I wish I had liked this better, but I found that I would have rather been knitting than reading.

These were interesting stories. They get you thinking about all they ways people can be. It reminds you that your own story is part of the big human picture. It's also a good book in that each story is rather short and tidy, so you can read a little at a time. It gives you time to absorb and mull over what happened in the story. When you're knitting, your mind can wander around exploring ideas (once you memorized the lace pattern for that set of rows!).

I liked this book. I loved some of the essays--such as "turning straw into gold"--while others (endless variations on "I cannot knit, so here is a lot of complaining about that") were less interesting.My complaint is that the Kindle version does not provide photographs of the included knitting patterns. A big omission....and so not enticing to make, which seems a waste. I went onto Ravelry to see project photos from some of the test knitters and readers of the book.

As both writer and knitter, I thoroughly enjoyed this book. Reading it was like pulling on a warm, cozy knit sweater on a winter day. I laughed, I cried, I knitted.

I abandoned it. I wasn't getting anything out of the essays. There are much better knitting essay books. Don't waste your time on this one.

This collection of life stories, which seem to share a common thread of honest and deep reflection. They carried me to a spectrum of feelings from grief to celebration and all the emotions in between. Knitting itself becomes a sidebar in the reflections of each of the authors. I found myself being invited into their personal lives in ways that left impressions that will stay with me for a long time. Some stories are deeply exploratory, some are light and fun and ultimately, many have the capacity to peak the curiosity of the mind and beg the heart to soften with compassion and wonder.

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Knitting Yarns: Writers on Knitting PDF

Knitting Yarns: Writers on Knitting PDF

Knitting Yarns: Writers on Knitting PDF
Knitting Yarns: Writers on Knitting PDF